Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 1.027663 1.248727 1.484407 1.752319 2.046472 2.357815 2.710509
2024-10-27 0.788917 1.099051 1.453712 1.880730 2.373084 2.916046 3.553451
2024-11-03 0.672547 1.032033 1.463062 2.001048 2.639485 3.359913 4.221993
2024-11-10 0.581652 0.978447 1.475289 2.115048 2.892628 3.786391 4.871985
2024-11-17 0.514150 0.940240 1.494470 2.226963 3.134589 4.193034 5.493504
2024-11-24 0.434445 0.872464 1.466194 2.272308 3.290607 4.495013 5.991205
2024-12-01 0.356002 0.793509 1.413336 2.278311 3.391960 4.727204 6.403322
2024-12-08 0.270276 0.688331 1.313422 2.213857 3.398023 4.839008 6.668138
2024-12-15 0.201173 0.595798 1.220966 2.150760 3.398981 4.939367 6.915040
2024-12-22 0.152125 0.526860 1.155014 2.117101 3.432487 5.075613 7.201769
2024-12-29 0.124947 0.493426 1.139400 2.150891 3.552406 5.318448 7.617999
2025-01-05 0.098641 0.454890 1.111510 2.164163 3.643063 5.523289 7.987053
2025-01-12 0.068050 0.398737 1.053542 2.137105 3.687231 5.680643 8.313731
2025-01-19 0.064150 0.409902 1.111402 2.284215 3.971657 6.149402 9.033110
2025-01-26 0.059225 0.416491 1.160431 2.417581 4.237072 6.593815 9.722437
2025-02-02 0.054101 0.420993 1.205426 2.545149 4.495399 7.030498 10.404144
2025-02-09 0.049200 0.424599 1.248313 2.669508 4.749728 7.462835 11.081668
2025-02-16 0.038364 0.403781 1.244092 2.719943 4.900658 7.761128 11.591429
2025-02-23 0.026388 0.370744 1.213291 2.726587 4.988804 7.976899 11.997001
2025-03-02 0.013347 0.317292 1.136016 2.654986 4.963153 8.041450 12.209759
2025-03-09 0.005260 0.269509 1.062778 2.584795 4.935795 8.101037 12.414082
2025-03-16 0.001592 0.235049 1.012007 2.547318 4.952087 8.215423 12.685286
2025-03-23 0.000530 0.221421 1.006321 2.584941 5.077746 8.476037 13.144629